SOLUSD short — 16 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 74.4908 and stopped out at 75.61 after 6.5 hours, closing at -1.50%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-16 21:43 |
| Entry | 74.4908 |
| Stop-loss | 75.61 |
| Take-profit 1 | 73.6923 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 73.16 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 75.61 |
| Realized P&L | -1.50% |
| Time open | 6.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h EMA stacks all bear-aligned, 1h ADX 21 rising (+3.6 slope), choppiness 29.5 (trending), ER10 0.49, Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), 4h EMA mixed — a genuine near-term bear trend under a lagging 4h, HMM calm. 2. LEAN CHECK: momentum, EMA stack and taker flow all point down (net -1.05% 4h, -1.49% 24h, taker 0.749 sell-heavy latest bucket) — short is the lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 3 lower TFs bear-stacked with strengthening 1h ADX and choppiness deep in trending territory, price at 5d-low (dist +0.0%) breaking down with sell-heavy takers. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI oversold across all TFs (5m 14.8, 15m 19, 1h 27) and z-score -1.82 raise mean-reversion bounce risk; top-trader pos ratio 1.60 (long-tilted) and aligned funding are contradicting clusters. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 75.61 above the recent breakdown/reclaim shelf (~1.5% risk, ~0.75x rv_24h intraday range); take_profit_1 73.16 stretch toward next support (~1.78% reward, RR ~1.2, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: trending bear tape favors continuation but deep oversold + long-tilted top traders cap conviction and raise expiry odds.
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