SOLUSD short — 26 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 95.6935 and stopped out at 97.85 after 6.1 hours, closing at -2.25%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-26 15:08 |
| Entry | 95.6935 |
| Stop-loss | 97.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 94.2874 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 93.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 97.85 |
| Realized P&L | -2.25% |
| Time open | 6.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear, 1h mixed, 4h still bull_aligned), 1h ADX 25.9 slope +1.5, ER10/30 ~0.29 and choppiness 60 (borderline chop), Hurst 0.45 mean-reverting, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a stalling HTF uptrend rolling into a lower-TF bearish pullback. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term evidence tilts short — net -1.35% 4h, -2.70% 24h, taker 0.78 (sellers dominant), OI decelerating and bleaking (-3.7% 24h, oi_5m_z -1.93). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short — the fresh momentum is down with confirming sell flow (taker 0.78, recent hourly buckets sub-1) and OI unwinding into the fall, and price sits -6.1% below the 5d/20d/90d high with lower TFs bear-aligned; this is trend-aligned with the intraday leg even though the 4h remains bullish. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-traders are heavily long (pos ratio 1.96, account ratio 2.27) and the 4h EMA stack is still bull — a reclaim of ~97.5 with rising taker flow would flip this into a resumed uptrend and invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 95.69; stop above the intraday pullback structure / near 4h support-turned-resistance at 97.85 (~2.25% risk, roughly 0.6x rv_24h — sane); take_profit_1 at 93.35 as the stretch toward the 5d-low zone, ~2.44% below and R:R ~1.08, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors the short but chop + bullish 4h/top-trader crowding caps conviction; meaningful expire risk in low-efficiency tape.
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