SLVONUSD short — 26 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SLVONUSD entered at 61.3914 and stopped out at 62.28 after 7.1 hours, closing at -1.45%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-26 15:08 |
| Entry | 61.3914 |
| Stop-loss | 62.28 |
| Take-profit 1 | 60.6226 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 60.11 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.44 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 62.28 |
| Realized P&L | -1.45% |
| Time open | 7.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear-aligned, 1h mixed, 4h bull), 1h ADX 10.2 / ADX-20 8.9 = deep chop, but ER_10 0.67 shows the recent 10-bar path is cleanly one-way DOWN (net -1.35% 4h, -2.18% 12h), Hurst 0.556 mildly persistent, HMM calm — a stalled 4h uptrend now rolling into a near-term downdraft within a choppy tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum, both lower-TF EMA stacks (5m/15m bear) and falling RSI (31-36) lean SHORT; against it stands a still-bull 4h stack and a heavily-long top-trader ratio (2.5 account / 1.85 pos) — but that pos ratio is FALLING (delta -0.18, 4h -0.18), i.e. longs unwinding into weakness, which supports the down move. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is fresh downside momentum + bearish lower-TF structure (ER_10 0.67 clean, 5m/15m bear stacks, RSI sub-35) confirmed by top-trader longs bleeding off; funding still positive (z +1.6, momentum building) means crowded longs remain vulnerable to further flush. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the 4h bull stack reasserts and price reclaims ~61.8-62.0 with a taker-buy surge, negating the down leg (5d low is just below at +0.098%, a natural bounce zone). 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 61.39; price sits right on the 5d low so a stop must sit beyond a decisive break — stop 62.28 (above recent consolidation / prior 4h support-turned-resistance, ~1.45% = ~0.35x rv_24h-scaled daily range, appropriate for low silver vol); TP 60.11 (~2.08% below, next structural shelf below the 5d low), R:R ~1.44 — inside 1.5x clamp and just under the 4% clamp. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors the short but price is at support (bounce risk high) and ADX is dead-chop, so a meaningful expire tail; p_tp1 42 / p_sl 34 / p_expire 24.
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