SOLUSD short — 28 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 102.89 and stopped out at 105.35 after 19.8 hours, closing at -2.39%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-28 18:53 |
| Entry | 102.89 |
| Stop-loss | 105.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 101.096 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 99.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 105.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.39% |
| Time open | 19.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h EMA stacks bull_aligned but 5m bear/15m mixed give alignment 0/4, 1h ADX 23.8 slope -2.1 (fading), ER30 0.08 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 51.8, Hurst 0.46, HMM calm — a cooling HTF uptrend rolling over into a fresh downside push. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence tilts short near-term — price -4.5% 24h, net -3.19% 4h/-4.32% 12h, OI collapsing (oi_5m_z -2.28, 15m_z -2.32, accelerating_down, agg_oi -9.8%), funding deeply negative (funding_z -2.30, agg_z -1.89). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI accelerating_down alongside a sharp price drop is a genuine liquidation/deleveraging leg down, and momentum (all net moves negative, taker 0.985) confirms sellers; the 5m/15m near-term stacks have flipped bearish despite the stale 4h bull read. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-traders are heavily long (pos ratio 2.28, acct 1.89) and funding is washed-out negative — a squeeze reclaim back above the 4h EMA support (~$105) with OI turning up would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 102.89, stop above near-term structure/recent 4h consolidation at 105.35 (~2.4% risk, within the ~3.9% avg 24h traversal); stretch TP down at 99.90, an even-figure structural level ~2.9% below entry, R:R ~1.2. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum + OI unwind favor continuation but oversold funding and long top-traders cap follow-through.
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