SOLUSD short — 1 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 102.12 and hit its target at 100.908 after 7.8 hours, closing at +1.19%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-01 08:48 |
| Entry | 102.12 |
| Stop-loss | 104.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 100.908 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 100.1 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 100.908 |
| Realized P&L | +1.19% |
| Time open | 7.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear-aligned but deeply oversold RSI 25-28, 1h mixed, 4h bull), 1h ADX 14.8 slope -0.85 (chop, fading), ER30 0.054 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 49.9, Hurst 0.58, HMM calm 0.9999 — a low-ADX chop tape with a fresh short-term downside push into oversold. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean near-term — net -1.4% 4h / -1.5% 12h, OI accelerating_down (oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_5m_z -0.77), taker ratio 0.91 (sell-tilted), agg funding negative/z -1.14; but 5m/15m RSI oversold and price sits just +0.7% above the 5d low, so downside is stretched. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI bleeding while price falls with sell-tilted takers signals an active down-push, and the trade takes the trend-aligned short-term momentum side into the 5d low. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the deeply oversold 5m/15m RSI plus a heavy top-trader long ratio (2.03) and proximity to the 5d low (+0.71%) is exactly the setup for a sharp reclaim bounce — a reclaim of ~103.5 with momentum invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent intraday pivot at 104.05 (invalidation ~103.6); entry 102.12, stop 104.05 (dist 1.89%, within the ~5.8% 7d range and above the reclaim level); target the 5d-low break toward 100.35 (dist 1.74%, RR ~0.92 — bump to 100.10 for RR ~1.05, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: chop + oversold caps directional follow-through, so meaningful expire probability.
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