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SOLUSD short — 13 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 100.0424 and hit its target at 99.027 after 15.8 hours, closing at +1.01%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-13 08:41 |
| Entry | 100.0424 |
| Stop-loss | 101.65 |
| Take-profit 1 | 99.027 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 98.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 99.027 |
| Realized P&L | +1.01% |
| Time open | 15.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/1h EMA bear_aligned, 15m/4h mixed, mtf tagged chop_high_vol; 1h ADX 13.9 (chop-tier) but slope +3.0 firming, ER10 0.51/ER30 0.33, choppiness 37 (trending edge), Hurst 0.37 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a low-ADX downside drift near 5d lows, mildly firming. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean — net -1.6% 4h / -1.7% 24h fresh downside, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.24, agg_oi -1.75%), taker 0.80 sell-heavy, price at bottom of range (-4.6% from 5d high, +1.4% off 5d low). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow — falling OI with sell-heavy takers and accelerating_down momentum confirms distribution, trend-aligned with the bear EMA stack; but oversold RSI (5m 12.7, 15m 15.8) and top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 1.96) caution against chasing hard. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is deeply oversold and price sits just above 5d low +1.4% — a reflex bounce/reclaim of ~101 would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 100.04; stop above the 4h consolidation shelf at 101.65 (~1.6%, within rv_24h 26 / atr); target the 5d-low retest zone at 98.35 (~1.7% down, RR ~1.05, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: oversold + heavy long positioning caps downside follow-through, so meaningful expire/bounce risk.
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