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SOLUSD short — 23 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 113.63 and stopped out at 116.05 after 14.7 hours, closing at -2.13%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-23 14:23 |
| Entry | 113.63 |
| Stop-loss | 116.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 112.142 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 111.15 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.02 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 116.05 |
| Realized P&L | -2.13% |
| Time open | 14.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h EMA bull_aligned but 5m/15m bear_aligned (alignment 0/4, mixed), 1h ADX 23.5 slope +2.8, ER10 0.80 (clean recent path) vs ER30 0.27, choppiness 37.8 (trending edge), Hurst 0.65, HMM calm — HTF uptrend but a sharp near-term selloff is underway. 2. LEAN CHECK: net -3.4% 4h / -4.1% 12h / -2.8% 24h with OI collapsing (oi_5m_z -5.6, accelerating_down) and taker ratio 0.90 (sell-skew) — clear near-term SHORT momentum despite bull HTF; the fresh downside impulse with de-risking OI is the dominant, actionable read. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is momentum/flow — accelerating_down OI unwind + sub-1 taker ratio + all short-horizon net moves negative + 5m/15m bear-aligned oversold cascade; ER10 0.80 says the recent path is clean one-way down, not chop. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 21-25 across 5m/15m/1h is deeply oversold and top-traders are heavily long (pos ratio 2.33) — a reflex bounce off the 5d-low (+5.5% below, but nearer support here) would invalidate a chase-short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 113.63; stop 116.05 (above the 4h intraday pivot / where the bear impulse fails, ~2.13% and within the ~5.9% avg daily range); target 111.35 (structural reach toward the recent low, ~2.0% down, R:R ~0.94 — nudge target to 111.20 for R:R just over 1.0). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but oversold + long top-traders raise bounce risk.
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