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SOLUSD short — 28 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 118.0051 and stopped out at 120.35 after 1.5 hours, closing at -1.99%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-28 14:53 |
| Entry | 118.0051 |
| Stop-loss | 120.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 116.382 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 115.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.15 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 120.35 |
| Realized P&L | -1.99% |
| Time open | 1.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear_aligned, 1h mixed, 4h bull_aligned), 1h ADX 24.5 slope -1.7 (moderate trend fading), ER10 0.28/ER30 0.36 (noisy), choppiness 50.8 (neutral), Hurst 0.54, HMM calm 0.999 — HTF bull structure but near-term is a bearish pullback bleeding lower; regime transitional/chop-lean-down. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term SHORT lean — net -0.39% 4h, -1.71% 12h, -3.03% 24h with OI decelerating and shrinking (oi_change -4.2%, agg OI -6.3%), taker 1h 0.82 (sellers), 5m/15m EMA bear-aligned. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow cluster confirms down — falling OI on a down move (longs unwinding), sub-1 taker ratio, funding still positive/crowded-long unwinding — this is a de-leveraging pullback aligned with the near-term bear EMA stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top_trader_pos_ratio 2.18 (heavily long) plus 4h bull structure — a reclaim of ~119.5 with rising OI flips this back to the HTF bull and stops the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 118.01, stop above the near-term structure/reclaim at 120.35 (~1.98%, within the ~2.6% 24h traversal / atr band); stretch TP down at 115.30 (~2.30%), R:R ~1.15, a reachable support level given -3% 24h momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: modest edge into a still-bullish HTF backdrop — p_tp1 44, p_sl 34, p_expire 22.
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