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SOLUSD short — 8 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 112.3514 and hit its target at 110.8926 after 1.4 hours, closing at +1.30%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-08 13:50 |
| Entry | 112.3514 |
| Stop-loss | 114.78 |
| Take-profit 1 | 110.8926 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 109.92 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.00 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 110.8926 |
| Realized P&L | +1.30% |
| Time open | 1.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 5m/15m/1h bear_aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 47.9 slope +4.5 (strong, firming trend), ER10 0.70 clean / ER30 0.50, choppiness 34 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.40 mean-reverting, HMM calm 1.0 — a strong, mature DOWN trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT by trend momentum — net -2.48%/4h, -3.25%/12h, -3.35%/24h, all freshly negative. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short with OI accelerating_down (-2.42% recent half, oi 15m z -1.69), taker 1h 0.777 and recent hourly ratios sub-1.0 (sell-skewed), price just tagged 5d/20d/90d lows (dist +0.000) — the three prior winning SOL shorts on this exact setup confirm the edge. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold on 1h (22.6) and 15m (29.4) and rolling z -3.63 — a sharp mean-reversion bounce reclaiming ~114 would invalidate; top-trader pos ratio 2.0 (long-leaning) is the one contradicting cluster. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 112.35, stop above recent swing / reclaim at 114.75 (2.14% / ~0.5x the 4.1% 1h bb range, structural invalidation), take_profit_1 at 109.95 (stretch, 2.14% below = ~1.0x stop distance, R:R ~1.0, a reachable continuation leg within 24h given 1.48% avg 24h traversal and strong trend). 6. EXPECTATION: trend+flow strongly favor short but oversold stretch raises bounce odds and expiry risk.
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