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SOLUSD short — 8 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 112.825 and hit its target at 111.34 after 23 minutes, closing at +1.32%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-08 13:20 |
| Entry | 112.825 |
| Stop-loss | 115.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 111.34 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 110.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.11 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 111.34 |
| Realized P&L | +1.32% |
| Time open | 23 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 5m/15m/1h bear_aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 47.7 slope +4.4 (strong, firming trend), ER10 0.59 moderately clean, choppiness 36.4 (trending), Hurst 0.40 mean-reverting, HMM calm 1.0 — a strong, mature DOWN trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT by trend momentum (net -2.06%/4h, -2.84%/12h, -2.94%/24h), OI accelerating_down -2.42% recent half, taker 1h 0.777 sell-skewed. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — strong bear EMA stack across 5m/15m/1h with firming ADX, OI bleeding (accelerating_down, 5m/15m z -1.09/-1.24) confirms longs capitulating as price falls, matching this asset's 67% WR short bias. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI oversold on EVERY TF (1h 26.9, 4h 24.7, 15m 27), price sits at the 5d/20d/90d lows (+0.28%) with rolling z -3.39 and top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.02) — an oversold bounce off the floor would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 112.825; stop above 115.05 structural reclaim (beyond the broken intraday pivot, ~1.97% / consistent with ~1.5% atr span); stretch target 110.35 at the next structural leg below the current low (R:R ~1.12, within clamps, reachable given 1.47% typical 24h traversal and -2.9% realized momentum). 6. EXPECTATION: trend favors continuation but deep oversold at the lows caps probability.
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