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SOLUSD short — 8 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 110.14 and hit its target at 108.466 after 22.2 hours, closing at +1.52%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-08 21:35 |
| Entry | 110.14 |
| Stop-loss | 112.75 |
| Take-profit 1 | 108.466 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 107.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.07 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 108.466 |
| Realized P&L | +1.52% |
| Time open | 22.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 (5m/4h mixed, 15m/1h bear_aligned), 1h ADX 57.5 but slope -0.84 (strong but just starting to fade), ER10 0.27 / ER30 0.34, choppiness 28.6 (trending), Hurst 0.42 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 1.0 — a mature DOWN trend showing first signs of exhaustion. 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT by trend momentum — net -3.56%/4h, -4.38%/12h, -4.70%/24h all freshly negative, OI accelerating_down (oi_15m_z -1.04); the dominant trend is down. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 15m/1h bear-aligned with high ADX, OI falling as price falls (longs capitulating), and this asset's track record favors trend-shorts (3 prior wins on near-identical setups). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 26.4 oversold + rolling z -3.22 (3-sigma stretched below mean) + top-trader pos ratio 1.83 (still net long, dip-buying) warn of a reflex bounce; ADX slope just turned negative — exhaustion risk is real. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 110.14; stop above the recent 4h swing / consolidation at 112.75 (2.37% / within 1h atr-scaled range given rv at 99th pctile); take_profit_1 at 107.35 (2.54% below, R:R ~1.07, inside clamps) targeting a push toward the 5d-low zone. 6. EXPECTATION: trend intact but stretched/oversold with fading ADX, so meaningful bounce risk.
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