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SOLUSD short — 13 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 104.48 and stopped out at 107.35 after 2.2 hours, closing at -2.75%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-13 01:20 |
| Entry | 104.48 |
| Stop-loss | 107.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 102.692 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 101.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.04 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 107.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.75% |
| Time open | 2.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF bear-aligned on 5m/15m/1h (4h mixed), 1h ADX 39.97 slope +6.67 (strong, firming), ER10 0.48 / choppiness 28.0 (<38 strongly trending), Hurst 0.46, HMM calm 1.0 — a strong, strengthening DOWN trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT lean — net -2.54%/4h, -5.46%/12h, -6.42%/24h all deeply negative, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.77, agg_oi -4.58%), taker ratio 0.84 (sell-heavy). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+flow confluence — bear EMA stack with firming ADX, OI bleeding on the drop (long liquidation / position exit, not fresh shorts to squeeze), and persistent sell-side taker pressure; this is the exact setup that won short 3x recently on this asset. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/4h RSI deeply oversold (29/26) and price sits just +1.48% above 20d/90d low with z=-2.00 — a sharp mean-reversion bounce off that low would invalidate; top-trader pos ratio 2.22 (longs leaning in) is the one contradicting cluster. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 104.48, stop above recent intraday structure at 107.35 (~2.75%, within 1h atr/rv range), stretch target down to 101.50 near the 5d-low cluster (~2.85%, R:R ~1.03, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: oversold risk of a bounce keeps p_sl meaningful but momentum/flow favor continuation.
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