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SOLUSD short — 14 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 104.2317 and hit its target at 102.6227 after 12 hours, closing at +1.54%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-14 14:20 |
| Entry | 104.2317 |
| Stop-loss | 106.65 |
| Take-profit 1 | 102.6227 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 101.55 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.11 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 102.6227 |
| Realized P&L | +1.54% |
| Time open | 12 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across all TFs, 1h ADX 15.6 slope +2.2 (firming from sub-trend), 4h ADX 36 is the real trend anchor, ER10 0.67 (clean recent one-way) but ER30 0.28 / choppiness 44.8 mid-range, Hurst 0.43 mean-reverting, HMM calm — a bear-tilted move with fresh downside momentum, 4h trend intact. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT lean — full bear EMA stack, net -2.73%/4h, -3.23%/12h, -3.01%/24h all fresh down, taker 0.95 (modestly sell-tilted), agg_oi -1.26% / oi_5m_z -0.50 (OI bleeding on the drop). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 4/4 bear MTF with 4h ADX 36 anchor plus the strongest cluster being fresh accelerating down momentum (-2.73%/4h) into a continuation; SOL 30d track record is strong (wr 68.6%) and recent same-regime shorts net positive. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 29.4 oversold + z-score -1.67 + price only +1.3% off 5d low + top-trader pos ratio 2.12 (heavily long) — a mean-reversion bounce could squeeze shorts. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 104.23, stop above the recent reclaim/consolidation shelf at 106.65 (~2.32% / ~1.1x atr_pct 1h scaled to 24h rv), take_profit_1 at 101.55 structural stretch toward 5d-low region (~2.57% down, R:R ~1.1, inside 1.5x/4% clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: fresh momentum favors continuation but oversold RSI + heavy top-trader longs temper it; p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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