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SOLUSD short — 15 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 103.17 and hit its target at 101.358 after 10.9 hours, closing at +1.76%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-15 02:35 |
| Entry | 103.17 |
| Stop-loss | 105.65 |
| Take-profit 1 | 101.358 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 100.15 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 101.358 |
| Realized P&L | +1.76% |
| Time open | 10.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 21.8 slope +1.8 (firming above trend threshold), 4h ADX 40.8 is a strong trend anchor, ER10 0.59 (clean recent one-way), choppiness 42 mid-range, Hurst 0.43 mean-reverting, HMM calm — a genuine down trend with fresh momentum. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT lean — full bear stack, net -1.29%/4h, -4.21%/24h, 1h RSI 30.8 oversold-but-trending, price z=-1.73 below 20d mean sitting right at 5d/20d/90d lows. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 4h ADX 40.8 strongest anchor plus full MTF bear alignment and fresh downside momentum; SOL just printed new lows and holds a 69% WR short bias on this asset. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top_trader_pos_ratio 2.03 is heavily long and price sits at 5d/20d/90d lows with RSI 30.8 — a short-cover bounce/reclaim of ~$105.5 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 103.17, stop 105.65 (beyond the broken intraday shelf, ~2.4% ≈ 0.5x rv_24h, structural invalidation above), take_profit_1 100.15 (prior support cluster below, ~2.93% / 1.2x stop distance, inside clamps, reachable given 2.28% avg 24h move with active trend). 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned with firm ADX but oversold RSI and crowded-long top traders risk a bounce; p_tp1 47 / p_sl 36 / p_expire 17.
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