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SOLUSD short — 17 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 102.0742 and stopped out at 104.35 after 6 hours, closing at -2.23%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-17 21:39 |
| Entry | 102.0742 |
| Stop-loss | 104.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 100.5897 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 99.6 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 104.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.23% |
| Time open | 6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bearish MTF 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned), 4h ADX 36.7 strong bear anchor, 1h ADX 19.6 slope +2.0 firming out of chop; ER30 0.17 / choppiness 35 / Hurst 0.39 flag a mean-reverting path but choppiness sub-38 confirms trending — a genuine 4h DOWN trend, HMM calm conf 1.0. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT lean — bear stacks across all four TFs, net -1.32%/4h, -2.63%/12h, -2.04%/24h, OI bleeding (oi_15m_z -2.40, agg_oi -4.6%) classic trend-aligned unwind. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow cluster — dominant full_bearish stack plus OI decline and taker ratio 0.89 (sell pressure) point down; funding mildly negative/z -1.1 shows no crowded-short to squeeze. 4. PRE-MORTEM: deeply oversold short-TF (5m RSI 12, 15m RSI 22), z_score -1.94, +0.59% off the 5d/20d/90d low and top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.25) — a reflexive bounce off the low could squeeze stops. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 102.07; stop above recent reclaim at 104.35 (2.23% / ~1.2x 1h ATR-anchored span, well inside 24h range); target the stretch toward the next structural shelf at 99.60 (2.42% down), R:R ~1.1, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned with strong track record (66.7% wr) but oversold bounce risk keeps p_sl material.
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