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SOLUSD short — 24 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 99.5537 and stopped out at 101.75 after 7.4 hours, closing at -2.21%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-24 15:12 |
| Entry | 99.5537 |
| Stop-loss | 101.75 |
| Take-profit 1 | 98.1715 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 97.25 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 101.75 |
| Realized P&L | -2.21% |
| Time open | 7.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear-aligned), 1h ADX 47 slope +6.2 (strong, strengthening downtrend), ER10 0.74 / choppiness 32 / Hurst 0.37 — a clean, efficient bearish impulse with mean-reverting bias at longer horizon; HMM calm conf 1.0. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT — every TF bear-aligned, trend firming hard, price pinned at the 5d/20d/90d low (-8.34% from high, +0.00% off low), net_move_pct_4h/12h/24h all negative (-1.9/-3.0/-5.0). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend alignment — full_bearish with firming ADX 47 and an efficient one-way drop (ER10 0.74), reinforced by flow (taker 0.73 sell-heavy, agg_oi -1.06% with price falling = short-driven), confirming trend-aligned downside continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: oversold RSI (1h 21.8, 15m 16.6, z-score -3.19, agg_liq 99% longs) plus top-trader pos ratio 2.18 long flags a reflexive bounce/short-squeeze; a reclaim back above ~101.5 with momentum would invalidate continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 99.55; stop above the recent swing/reclaim zone at 101.85 (~2.3% = ~0.57x rv_24h, structural invalidation beyond the oversold bounce level); stretch target down at 97.35 (~2.2%), R:R ~0.96 — bump stop tighter: stop 101.75 (2.21%), target 97.25 (2.31%) gives R:R ~1.04, within 1.5x/4% clamps and reachable given avg_move_24h 1.54 + elevated 24h move. 6. EXPECTATION: trend strong but oversold raises bounce odds; p_tp1 46, p_sl 33, p_expire 21.
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