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SOLUSD short — 26 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 100.2915 and stopped out at 102.05 after 11 hours, closing at -1.75%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-26 03:57 |
| Entry | 100.2915 |
| Stop-loss | 102.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 98.9466 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 98.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.27 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 102.05 |
| Realized P&L | -1.75% |
| Time open | 11 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear-aligned), 1h ADX 21.9 slope +3.2 (sub-trend but firming), 4h ADX 25.9, ER10 0.59 / ER30 0.12 / choppiness 57.4 / Hurst 0.41 — a bearish EMA stack with a firming but not clean impulse, HMM calm conf 1.0, RV at 27th pctile. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest-to-moderate SHORT — every TF bear-aligned, net_move negative across 4h/12h/24h, price pinned just above 5d/20d/90d low (+0.6% off low, -7.6% from high), rolling z -1.97; the only counter is top-trader pos ratio 2.18 (dip-buyers leaning long) and taker ratio ~1.02. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned SHORT — full bearish MTF stack + accelerating_up OI (oi_momentum accelerating_up with 15m z +1.37) into a down move = fresh shorts fueling continuation toward the recent low breakdown; this asset's bear_trend track record is strong (recent shorts +2.36/+2.12). 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is pinned at the 5d/20d/90d low with z -1.97 and heavily long top-traders — an oversold reclaim bounce back above ~102 would invalidate and squeeze shorts. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 100.29, stop above the firming-trend invalidation / reclaim zone at 102.05 (~1.75% stop, within 24h range), take_profit_1 at 98.05 — a fresh break below the recent low cluster, ~2.24% / 1.27x stop distance, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but oversold at a multi-day low with contrary top-trader positioning — bounded conviction.
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