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SOLUSD short — 27 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 99.5477 and stopped out at 101.35 after 12.2 hours, closing at -1.81%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-27 06:57 |
| Entry | 99.5477 |
| Stop-loss | 101.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 98.2591 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 97.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 101.35 |
| Realized P&L | -1.81% |
| Time open | 12.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear-aligned), 1h ADX 30.6 slope +1.87 (genuine, firming downtrend), 4h ADX 26.9, ER10 0.32 / ER30 0.17 / choppiness 47.2 / Hurst 0.40 — a bearish EMA stack with a moderately clean path, HMM calm conf 1.0, RV at 67th pctile; price pinned at the 5d/20d/90d low (+0.00% off lows). 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT — every TF bear-aligned, oi_momentum accelerating_up into a down move (fresh shorts/longs chasing), net_move negative across 4h/12h/24h. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full_bearish MTF with firming ADX and price sitting ON the 90d/20d low with no reclaim, the dominant cluster; oi_change +1.86% accelerating_up alongside falling price supports continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: deeply oversold short-TF RSI (5m 29 / 15m 30 / 1h 36), z_score -1.91 and top-trader pos ratio 2.39 long — a mean-reversion bounce off the exact low would invalidate; a reclaim of ~101.5 flips it. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 99.55; stop_loss 101.35 (above recent 1h structure / reclaim zone, ~1.8% = ~1.2x atr_pct_1h daily range, honest invalidation); take_profit_1 97.40 (stretch below the low, ~2.15% = ~1.19x stop distance, R:R ~1.19, reachable given avg_move_24h 1.43% and this trend). 6. EXPECTATION: trend favors continuation but oversold mean-reversion at the exact low caps conviction; p_tp1 47 / p_sl 36 / p_expire 17.
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