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SOLUSD short — 3 Nov 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 93.326 and hit its target at 91.9004 after 10.8 hours, closing at +1.53%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-03 13:38 |
| Entry | 93.326 |
| Stop-loss | 95.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 91.9004 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 90.95 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.38 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 91.9004 |
| Realized P&L | +1.53% |
| Time open | 10.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h EMA stacks bear_aligned with 4h ADX 35 (strong) but 1h ADX 25 slope -3.8 (fading), MTF mixed 0/4, ER30 0.10 / choppiness 53 / Hurst 0.26 — a bearish higher-TF frame but the near-term impulse has stalled into low-efficiency chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: higher-TF trend is down and SOL sits -1.1% 24h near the lower end of its 20d range (z -1.35), so the trend-aligned lean is short, but a bounce is building near-term. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short is trend-aligned (4h bear stack + strong 4h ADX 35 + funding z +1.0/+1.2 crowded-long unwind risk + agg OI -0.98% bleeding into the drop); the asset has a 67% short-biased track record in this exact regime. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the fresh 4h/12h net move is now positive (+0.93% / +1.03%), taker ratio flipped to 1.34 buy-heavy last 2h, 5m EMA bull_aligned and 15m RSI 66 — a reclaim bounce that invalidates the short if it clears back above ~95. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 93.33, stop above the recent bounce high / invalidation at 95.05 (1.84% / ~0.4x the 4.4% ADR — tight given fading momentum), stretch target 90.95 (down 2.55%, R:R ~1.38, inside clamps) at the prior 5d-low shelf. 6. EXPECTATION: bearish HTF but near-term bounce and stalling ADX cap conviction; p_tp1 42, p_sl 36, p_expire 22.
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