AAVEUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 136.67 and hit its target at 139.808 after 31 minutes, closing at +2.30%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 14:54 |
| Entry | 136.67 |
| Stop-loss | 132.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 139.808 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 141.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.27 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 139.808 |
| Realized P&L | +2.30% |
| Time open | 31 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 25.5 with strongly positive slope +7.4 (trend strengthening), 4h ADX 50.7, choppiness 35.8 (trending edge), ER-10 0.56 (moderately clean), HMM volatile 0.89 — a fresh +10.9% 24h bull impulse pinned at the 5d/20d/90d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — HTF trend, OI acceleration (oi_momentum accelerating_up, oi_5m_z +2.68, agg_oi +25.6%) and top-trader positioning (pos ratio 1.51, rising) all point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow+positioning — OI is accelerating up on a fresh breakout while top traders lean net-long and 1h taker ratio 1.16, confirming genuine trend-aligned buying rather than short-covering. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 79.2 (overbought) and rolling z +2.60 flag stretch-exhaustion; a fast reversal from the high would invalidate — same setup produced -3.5%/-3.7% losses when momentum stalled at the high. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 136.67, stop 132.55 below the recent intraday shelf (~3.0% risk, ~0.55x the 5.35% avg 24h traversal — sane in this high-vol regime), stretch TP 141.90 at the next round-figure extension (~3.8%, R:R ~1.27, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought/stretched at highs keeps p_expire meaningful.
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