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AAVEUSD long — 13 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 127.0254 and stopped out at 124.6 after 8.2 hours, closing at -1.91%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-13 13:56 |
| Entry | 127.0254 |
| Stop-loss | 124.6 |
| Take-profit 1 | 128.6002 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 129.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.08 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 124.6 |
| Realized P&L | -1.91% |
| Time open | 8.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf 0/4 mixed across all TFs, 1h ADX 18.7 fading (-1.2 slope), ER-10 0.076 / ER-30 0.033 / choppiness 48.6 / Hurst 0.36 all flag AAVE's classic net-nowhere mean-reverting chop; HMM calm 0.999. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — fresh net_move_4h +1.71% thrust off a slight negative z-score (-0.50), OI accelerating_up (5m z +3.46), taker buy/sell 1.59 and top-trader position ratio 2.11 all tilt bid; price sits +5% off 5d/20d/90d low with room to the 5d high (-3.05%). 3. THESIS: strongest cluster is flow — OI accelerating up with heavy bid-side takers (1.59) plus dominant top-trader longs (pos ratio 2.11) into a fresh 4h up-thrust; the same setup has repeatedly won long on this asset's mean-reverting-to-bull chop. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m RSI 73.6 is overbought and this is chop, so a fade back below the recent base near 125.2 invalidates the thrust. 5. LEVELS: stop below the 4h base at 124.60 (~1.9% risk, within the ~2.2% typical 24h traversal and RV pctile 25%); stretch TP at 129.65 (~2.1% / RR ~1.1) toward the 5d-high resistance zone, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: coherent but chop-limited and overbought short-term, so meaningful expire weight.
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