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HYPEUSD short — 13 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 77.477 and stopped out at 79.35 after 13.1 hours, closing at -2.42%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-13 13:41 |
| Entry | 77.477 |
| Stop-loss | 79.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 76.2608 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 75.45 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.08 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 79.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.42% |
| Time open | 13.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h EMA all bear_aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 30.0 slope +5.5 (trend firming), 15m ADX 46, ER-10 0.52/ER-30 0.22, choppiness 36 (trending), Hurst 0.43 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.999 — a firming bear drift with fast-TF momentum but at a stretched extreme. 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean tempered by extension — bear stack + fresh net_4h -0.83%/net_12h -2.52%/net_24h -3.53%, but price sits at +0.03% off 5d/20d/90d lows and rolling z -2.03 (deeply stretched, snapback risk). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — bear EMA stack across three fast TFs, ADX firming, agg OI -3.65% with decelerating/OI z -2.6 (shorts pressing as longs bleed), fresh 24h decline; sellers still in control near lows. 4. PRE-MORTEM: sitting exactly at 5d/20d/90d low with rolling z -2.0 and top_trader_pos_ratio 1.92 (heavily long) — a reclaim of the recent low with a short-squeeze bounce invalidates; taker 1h 1.23 already shows buyers stepping in. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent bounce/structure at 79.35 (~2.4% risk, ~0.6x rv_24h, beyond the reclaim zone); target the measured continuation lower toward 75.45 (~2.6% below), R:R ~1.1, reachable given avg 24h traversal 2.4%+ in a firming trend. 6. EXPECTATION: firming bear but at a stretched extreme with heavy top-trader longs caps upside on the short.
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