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AAVEUSD long — 22 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 147.03 and hit its target at 152.3 after 4.8 hours, closing at +3.58%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-22 22:53 |
| Entry | 147.03 |
| Stop-loss | 143.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 150.192 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 152.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.32 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 152.3 |
| Realized P&L | +3.58% |
| Time open | 4.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h EMA bull-aligned (ADX 37.7, RSI 66) and full bull stack across 5m/15m/1h/4h (alignment 4/4), but 1h ADX only 13.3 (chop) though slope +0.90 rising, ER-10 0.35 / ER-30 0.11, choppiness 50, Hurst 0.59, HMM calm 0.999 — a mature 4h bull structure now pushing back toward the highs. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG lean — full bull alignment, freshest tape up (net_move 4h +2.28% / 12h +4.42%), price parked -0.45% under the 5d/20d/90d high. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend + flow confluence — full_bullish 4/4 stack, top_trader_pos_ratio 2.28 (heavily long), taker 1.377 buy-skewed, OI accelerating_up with positive oi_5m_z (+0.92) and fresh momentum right at the highs; trend-aligned continuation attempt. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits at 90d high with RSI overbought (5m 75, funding_z +1.04, F&G 78 Extreme Greed) — a rejection at resistance flips this to a stall/fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 147.03; stop below the recent 1h swing/consolidation shelf at 143.05 (~2.7% risk, ~0.55x rv_24h, structural invalidation of the breakout attempt); stretch TP 152.30 (~3.6% / ~1.32x stop distance), a clean push above the 90d high, inside clamps and reachable given avg 24h traversal 4.7%. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought-at-highs tempers the breakout odds but trend + flow favor it.
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