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AAVEUSD short — 24 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on AAVEUSD entered at 137.205 and hit its target at 135.282 after 38 minutes, closing at +1.40%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-24 14:27 |
| Entry | 137.205 |
| Stop-loss | 139.95 |
| Take-profit 1 | 135.282 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 134 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.17 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 135.282 |
| Realized P&L | +1.40% |
| Time open | 38 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Clean, strong bear trend — mtf_alignment full_bearish 4/4 (all TFs bear_aligned), ADX_1h 48.4 slope +3.55 (very strong, strengthening), choppiness 20.6 (strongly trending), ER-10 0.99 (clean one-way down), Hurst 0.42 near-random, HMM calm 0.9999. 2. LEAN CHECK: One-sided short — fresh down impulse (net -2.38% 4h, -5.30% 12h, -7.07% 24h), price pinned at 5d/20d/90d lows, OI bleeding (oi_change -6.05%, agg_oi -7.36%, oi_5m_z -1.13), bearish taker 0.87, rolling z -3.04. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: Trend-aligned short — strongest cluster is the HTF trend stack (full_bearish 4/4 + ADX 48 rising + choppiness 20), confirmed by OI bleed and bearish taker flow; this asset's track record (62.5% wr) and five recent bear_trend shorts (4 wins) validate the pattern. 4. PRE-MORTEM: Deeply oversold (1h RSI 21, 15m RSI 12) at a fresh low with top-trader pos ratio 1.99 long — an oversold reclaim bounce back above the 5d-low shelf would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: Entry 137.21; stop_loss 139.95 (above the recent breakdown shelf / ~2.0% = 1.6x 4h ATR, inside the 24h realized range of ~7%); take_profit_1 134.00 for ~1.17x R:R (stop dist 2.74 vs reward 3.21), a structural continuation level reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 2.7%. 6. EXPECTATION: trend strong but oversold caps follow-through odds; p_tp1 48, p_sl 34, p_expire 18.
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