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DOGEUSD short — 24 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.07641 and hit its target at 0.075414 after 43 minutes, closing at +1.30%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-24 14:27 |
| Entry | 0.07641 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0778 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.075414 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07475 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.075414 |
| Realized P&L | +1.30% |
| Time open | 43 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned), 1h ADX 48.96 slope +4.13 (strong, strengthening trend), choppiness 30.4 (<38 strongly trending), ER-10 0.79 clean recent impulse vs ER-30 0.44, Hurst 0.45 mild mean-revert, HMM calm 99.99% — a strong, accelerating downward leg in a fully bear-aligned HTF stack. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — net -1.49%/4h, -3.23%/12h, -4.50%/24h, OI accelerating_down with oi_5m_z -2.67, agg_oi -2.99%, z_score -2.57 vs 20d mean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend+flow cluster — full_bearish stack with rising ADX and accelerating_down OI confirms longs unwinding into the fall, price pinned at 5d/20d/90d lows (0% above low), trend-aligned short. 4. PRE-MORTEM: deep oversold reading (RSI 1h 25.9, 15m 22.5, z -2.57) plus top-trader pos ratio 3.07 heavily long risks a sharp mean-revert bounce; recent short conf=60 lost at SL twice from oversold snapbacks. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.07641; stop above a near pivot at 0.07780 (~1.82% / ~2x the 1h atr_pct 0.87, within realized range); stretch target 0.07475 (~2.17% down, ~1.19x stop distance, RR ~1.19) at an extension of the fresh-low breakdown, reachable given avg 24h traversal ~1.9% and the active trend. 6. EXPECTATION: trend favors short but oversold stretch caps upside and invites bounces — p_tp1 46, p_sl 36, p_expire 18.
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