BNBUSD short — 22 Jul 2026 (expired)
This short on BNBUSD entered at 570.98 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 566.33 with a price move of +0.81%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | BNBUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-22 14:50 |
| Entry | 570.98 |
| Stop-loss | 579.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 563.792 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 559 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.41 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 566.33 |
| Realized P&L | +0.81% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 15m/1h/4h EMAs all bear_aligned but 1h ADX ~17 with negative slope (-1.35), 4h ADX only ~10, choppiness 50.7, efficiency_ratio_10 0.07, Hurst 0.47 — a weak/fading bear tilt drifting into chop, alignment only 2/4. 2. LEAN CHECK: net_move_24h -0.79%, taker history mostly sub-1 in recent hours, fear_greed 33 — modest bearish lean, but OI is accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.33) and top-trader pos ratio 1.71 long, which cuts against a clean short; overall a soft short lean on trend + recent net-negative move. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: EMA stack bearish on the three higher voting TFs and 24h price net-negative — trend-aligned short, price sits just -1.4% under the 5d high (room to fall to 5d/20d lows). 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI accelerating_up with heavily long top-traders (1.71) plus positive taker 1h (1.14) could mark a base/short-squeeze — a reclaim above the 5d high (~579) invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 579.5 (above 5d high / invalidation), entry 570.98, take_profit_1 559.0 near the 20d/5d low zone — risk ~8.5, reward ~12, R:R ~1.4, reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal ~0.96% and rv 22.6%. 6. EXPECTATION: weak trend + chop risk + long-heavy positioning cap this; p_tp1 40, p_sl 33, p_expire 27.
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