DOGEUSD long — 9 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.070746 and stopped out at 0.06988 after 46 minutes, closing at -1.22%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-09 22:23 |
| Entry | 0.070746 |
| Stop-loss | 0.06988 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.071372 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07179 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.21 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.06988 |
| Realized P&L | -1.22% |
| Time open | 46 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF alignment 4/4 but labeled mixed (5m/15m/1h bull-stacked, 4h mixed), 1h ADX 20.3 with +0.59 slope (barely trending), ER-10 0.45/ER-30 0.18, choppiness 46.9, Hurst 0.36 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a soft bull lean inside broadly transitional low-vol tape (RV at 0.5 pctile). 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term stacks are all bull, OI is accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +2.25, oi_5m_z +1.63), top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.98), agg OI +0.79% — flow and positioning lean long, so the lean is long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI + positioning — accelerating OI build with top-trader long tilt and net_move +0.77%/12h, trend-aligned with the intact 5m/15m/1h EMA stack near the 5d high (-0.81%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker_buy_sell 0.985 (<1) and funding_momentum negative (-0.018) suggest buying is not confirming under the hood — a rejection off the 5d high with OI unwind flips this. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below recent 1h structure at 0.06988 (~1.2% risk, within the 17% RV / avg 24h traversal ~0.85%); stretch target 0.07179 at the retest of 5d high band, R:R ~1.15. 6. EXPECTATION: coin-flip-ish edge with real long lean but weak vol and negative taker/funding drift, so meaningful expire probability.
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