DOGEUSD long — 11 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.072572 and stopped out at 0.07094 after 14.9 hours, closing at -2.25%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-11 22:41 |
| Entry | 0.072572 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07095 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.073819 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07465 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.28 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07094 |
| Realized P&L | -2.25% |
| Time open | 14.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF bull-stacked on 5m/15m/1h (4h mixed, both 1h+4h RSI overbought at 75/71), 1h ADX 23.6 with strong +7.1 slope (trend building), ER-30 0.48, choppiness 39.1 (edge of trending), Hurst 0.34 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a strengthening bullish impulse but RV at 99.5 pctile and rolling z +4.25 signal a stretched, extended move. 2. LEAN CHECK: EMA stacks bull 3/4, +3.85%/24h and +2.41%/4h net, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.66, oi_15m_z +3.94), agg OI +8.9%/24h, taker 1.14, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.95) — lean is clearly long, but price sits at 5d/20d/90d high with overbought RSI. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow+OI — accelerating OI on a fresh impulse to new highs with top-trader position ratio near 3.0 and rising funding momentum confirms genuine buying, and the mtf bull stack + rising ADX makes it trend-aligned. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 75 (1h) and 71 (4h) plus z +4.25 mean this is a stretched move; a momentum stall and reversion below the impulse base invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.072572; stop below the 4h impulse base at 0.07095 (~2.2% risk, within ~0.5-1x of 42.9% RV daily range); stretch TP at 0.07465 (~1.28% reward) at the next round extension, R:R ~1.24. 6. EXPECTATION: extended long into overbought — momentum favors continuation short-term but reversion risk is real, so p_tp1 46 / p_sl 34 / p_expire 20.
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