DOGEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.093722 and stopped out at 0.09135 after 44 minutes, closing at -2.53%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| Entry | 0.093722 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09135 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.095809 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0972 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.47 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09135 |
| Realized P&L | -2.53% |
| Time open | 44 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 49.2 with +6.1 slope (strong, still-strengthening trend), ER-10 0.76 / choppiness 30 (clean one-way short-horizon), Hurst 0.40, HMM calm 98.5% — a powerful uptrend but deeply extended (z +4.04, RV-24h 98.5th pctile, 4h RSI 93.7, all TFs overbought). 2. LEAN CHECK: unambiguously long tape — net +10.1%/4h, +16.2%/24h, sitting AT 5d/20d/90d high (-0.77%), OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +4.62), top-trader pos ratio 3.96 rising (+0.48/4h). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow + positioning all point up — accelerating OI into new highs with top-traders heavily long and 4/4 MTF alignment; this is the same setup that won +2.40%/+2.16% on this asset repeatedly this cycle. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extreme extension (z +4.04, RV 98.5th pctile, taker 1h 0.93 slightly sub-1 and funding_momentum negative) means a sharp exhaustion pullback could hit stop before continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent breakout shelf at 0.09135 (~2.6% risk, within the ~6.5% 7d range given elevated vol); stretch TP at 0.09720 (~3.7% reward, RR ~1.4x) toward extension continuation, inside the 4% clamp. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend favors continuation but extreme extension raises fade risk — p_tp1 48, p_sl 34, p_expire 18.
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