DOGEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.092572 and hit its target at 0.094794 after 32 minutes, closing at +2.40%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 22:20 |
| Entry | 0.092572 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08995 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.094794 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.096275 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.41 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.094794 |
| Realized P&L | +2.40% |
| Time open | 32 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 47 with +4.5 slope (strong, still-strengthening trend), ER-10 0.84 / choppiness 34.6 (clean one-way short-horizon), Hurst 0.42, HMM calm 98.5% — powerful uptrend but deeply extended (z +3.99, RV-24h 94.9th pctile, 4h RSI 93, all TFs overbought). 2. LEAN CHECK: unambiguously long tape — net +9.3%/4h, +16.1%/24h, sitting AT 5d/20d/90d high (+0.000), OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +6.07), top-trader pos ratio 3.61 rising (+0.16 4h) — long is the only credible side. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow + positioning all confirm long — accelerating OI into a full-aligned high-ADX breakout with top-traders heavily net-long and rising; DOGE 30d wr 67% and recent bull_trend longs won repeatedly. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extreme extension (z+3.99, 4h RSI 93) means a mean-reversion snap could hit stop before continuation resumes. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.092572; stop below the recent breakout shelf at 0.089950 (~2.83% risk, roughly 1x the 24h realized range for this hot mover); stretch TP 0.096450 (~4.19% → clamped near 4%, reward ~1.37x risk within bounds) at prior impulse extension. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought extension keeps p_tp1 modest with meaningful pullback/expire risk.
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