DOGEUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.094425 and stopped out at 0.09195 after 1.3 hours, closing at -2.62%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 20:27 |
| Entry | 0.094425 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09195 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.096495 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.097875 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.39 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09195 |
| Realized P&L | -2.62% |
| Time open | 1.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 21.8 (slope -2.6 fading) but 4h ADX 58.3 strong, ER-10 0.59 (cleaner near-term path than prior stalls), choppiness 50, Hurst 0.41 (mean-reverting), HMM volatile 100% — a strong uptrend, deeply extended (z +2.56, RV-24h 92nd pctile, 4h RSI 76.8 overbought) but with fresher near-term momentum. 2. LEAN CHECK: net-bull tape — +10.4%/24h, +2.9%/4h, +3.1%/12h, top-trader pos ratio 4.83 heavily long, OI ticking up — the long side is favored despite extension. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — full 4/4 MTF stack plus strong 4h ADX and dominant top-trader positioning (4.83), and this asset's recent same-regime longs are 4/4 winners; ER-10 0.59 shows the path is cleaner than the stalled setups that led to prior losses. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the trade fails if the deeply-extended structure (z +2.56, 4h RSI overbought, Hurst mean-reverting, taker 1h 0.96 slightly sell-tilted) resolves into a mean-reversion pullback below the near-term shelf. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.094425; stop 0.09195 below the recent consolidation shelf (~2.6%, roughly 1x the 1h atr / within realized range); take_profit_1 0.097875 at the 5d/20d/90d high retest area (~3.65%, ~1.4x stop distance, inside clamps, reachable given avg 24h traversal 3.8%). 6. EXPECTATION: extension caps upside odds but trend + track record favor the long.
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