DOGEUSD long — 22 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.098734 and stopped out at 0.0961 after 17 minutes, closing at -2.67%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-22 04:50 |
| Entry | 0.098734 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0961 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.100574 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.1018 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.16 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.0961 |
| Realized P&L | -2.67% |
| Time open | 17 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 55.4 with +4.6 slope (very strong, still-strengthening), ER-10 0.71 / choppiness 28.3 (clean one-way), Hurst 0.44, HMM volatile 100% — a powerful uptrend but deeply extended (z +4.20, RV-24h 164% 100th pctile, 4h RSI 95, all TFs overbought, sitting AT 5d/20d/90d high +0.000). 2. LEAN CHECK: unambiguously long tape — net +7.4%/4h, +16.5%/12h, +19.8%/24h, OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +3.86, agg OI +23.4%/24h), top-trader pos ratio 4.23 — trend is the only side. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow + positioning all confirm long — accelerating OI on a vertical impulse with top-traders 4.2x long and taker 1.04; recent same-regime signals 4/5 wins riding this exact move. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 95 and z +4.20 flag blow-off exhaustion — a sharp mean-reversion snap after such extension would hit the stop; the counter-trend pin bar / reclaim-fail is the risk. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.098734; given RV is 100th pctile and 4h atr 3.0%, stop below the intraday impulse shelf at 0.09610 (~2.67% risk, ~0.85x recent daily range); stretch target 0.10180 (~3.1% / ~1.16x risk), inside 4% clamp, an honest continuation extension. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but extreme extension raises reversal/expire odds.
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