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DOGEUSD long — 14 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.085391 and stopped out at 0.08405 after 2.1 hours, closing at -1.57%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 20:54 |
| Entry | 0.085391 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08409 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.086344 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08698 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08405 |
| Realized P&L | -1.57% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf 2/4 transitional — 5m/15m bull_aligned (RSI 55-60, ADX 26-33), but 1h/4h EMA mixed with weak ADX (15.2/14.7); ER-10 0.31/ER-30 0.16, choppiness 45.5, Hurst 0.35 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.96% — low-vol chop with a fresh short-term bullish tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: mild long lean — near-term momentum (net_4h +1.09%), rising OI z-scores, and heavily long-tilted top traders (pos ratio 3.35) point up more than down, even though the higher TF is chop. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is the short-timeframe flow/structure — 5m/15m bull EMA stacks with rising ADX, positive OI z (oi_15m_z +1.85), and net_4h/12h positive; funding z negative (-1.18) means positioning isn't crowded long, room to run. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/4h are only mixed with sub-15 ADX and Hurst 0.35 mean-reverting — a stall back into range invalidates the bounce; a break below the recent 5d-low/session pivot kills it. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.085391; stop below the recent swing/session support at 0.084090 (~1.52% risk, ~0.6x rv_24h span); stretch TP at 0.086980 (~1.86% reward, ~1.2x stop distance) toward the 5d high (-2.32% away is ~0.0874), reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 1.68%. 6. EXPECTATION: chop regime with a modest lean, DOGE track record wr 54.5% — p_tp1 45, p_sl 39, p_expire 16.
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