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ETHUSD long — 14 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,557 and stopped out at 2,513.5 after 2.5 hours, closing at -1.70%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 21:09 |
| Entry | 2,557 |
| Stop-loss | 2,513.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,589.4 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,611 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,513.5 |
| Realized P&L | -1.70% |
| Time open | 2.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4 (all EMA stacks bull), 1h ADX 22.8 slope +6.5 (firming trend), choppiness 36.6 (leaning-trend), ER-10 0.53 (moderately clean short-frame) but ER-30 0.29 / Hurst 0.25 (longer path mean-reverting), HMM calm — a firming bull_trend with +0.97% 4h / +1.96% 24h. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — every EMA aligns bull, OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +2.27), top-traders net long (pos ratio 1.23), taker 1.25 buy-heavy, ETF velocity +14x. 3. THESIS: trend + flow confluence — OI momentum accelerating_up into a rising ADX with buy-side taker pressure and top-trader long tilt, all trend-aligned with the full-bullish MTF stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rolling z +2.16 (stretched) and only -2.7% from 5d/20d/90d high — a rejection at that overhead high would invalidate the continuation. 5. LEVELS: entry 2556.99; stop 2513.5 below recent structure (~1.7% / near 24h rv range); TP 2611 stretch (~2.1% up, ~1.24x stop distance, inside clamps) toward reclaim of the 5d high zone. 6. EXPECTATION: firm trend + flow but stretched into overhead resistance and choppy longer-frame; recent same-regime longs are mixed (one SL just before).
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