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SOLUSD long — 14 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 104.6026 and stopped out at 102.35 after 4.6 hours, closing at -2.15%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 20:39 |
| Entry | 104.6026 |
| Stop-loss | 102.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 106.221 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 107.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.20 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 102.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.15% |
| Time open | 4.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: alignment 2/4 (5m/15m bull-aligned, 1h/4h EMA mixed), mtf transitional; 1h ADX 20.1 slope +5.0 (firming into trend-tier), ER10 0.64 (clean recent one-way up) / ER30 0.33, choppiness 38.8 (trending edge), Hurst 0.34 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.9997 — a firming low-grade uptrend after fresh upside. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG lean — fresh net +1.9% 4h / +3.1% 24h upside, OI accelerating_up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow cluster is strong and trend-aligned — OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.46, oi_15m_z +2.39, agg_oi +5.8%), top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 1.96, acct 2.08), funding building (agg_z +1.33, momentum +1.89), ADX slope +5.0 firming; price just 0.26% off the 5d high with ER10 0.64 confirming clean upward path. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought across 5m/15m/1h (72-80) and Hurst 0.34 mean-reverting — an exhaustion reversal off the 5d high would invalidate; the last taker bucket (0.75 sell-tilted) hints at fading buy pressure. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 104.60; stop below the recent breakout/consolidation shelf at 102.35 (2.15% risk, ~0.4x rv_24h, sound); stretch TP at 107.30 (2.58% up, ~1.2x stop distance, RR ~1.2), a level just above the 5d high the momentum points to, within clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: firming trend + strong flow favor upside but overbought RSI and mean-reverting Hurst temper it.
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