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DOGEUSD long — 14 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.084043 and stopped out at 0.08246 after 8.7 hours, closing at -1.88%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 23:24 |
| Entry | 0.084043 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08246 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.085325 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08618 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.35 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08246 |
| Realized P&L | -1.88% |
| Time open | 8.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf 0/4 mixed (5m mixed RSI 29 oversold, 15m bull, 1h/4h mixed), 1h ADX 14.3 slope -0.9, ER-10 0.03/ER-30 0.06 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 45.6, Hurst 0.37 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.96%, RV at 18th pctile — compressed, directionless low-vol chop near 5d lows (z -1.05, -4% off 5d high, +1.9% off 5d low). 2. LEAN CHECK: mild long lean — price is oversold (5m RSI 29, z -1.05) and mean-reversion regime (Hurst 0.37) favors a bounce, plus top traders heavily long (pos ratio 3.45); this outweighs the modest short microstructure. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: mean-reversion cluster — z -1.05 near 5d low in a Hurst-0.37 chop with oversold short-TF RSI tends to snap back; top-trader positioning is strongly long-tilted, and funding z is negative (-1.18, not crowded long) leaving room to rise. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -1.98, momentum accelerating_down) and net_4h -0.96% — if OI keeps bleeding and price breaks the 5d low, the bounce thesis fails. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.084043; stop below the 5d-low structure at 0.08246 (~1.9% risk, within the 4.7% 7d range); stretch TP at 0.08618 (~1.35% reward, R:R ~1.16, inside clamps) toward reclaim of the 5d-low retest zone. 6. EXPECTATION: chop mean-reversion with weak edge — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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