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ETHUSD long — 14 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,517.6 and stopped out at 2,478.9 after 5.6 hours, closing at -1.54%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 23:39 |
| Entry | 2,517.6 |
| Stop-loss | 2,478.9 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,548.1 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,568.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.32 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,478.9 |
| Realized P&L | -1.54% |
| Time open | 5.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed 2/4 (15m/1h/4h bull EMA, 5m mixed), 1h ADX 25.3 slope +5.3 (firming), ADX-20 17.7, ER-10 0.15/ER-30 0.05 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 37 (leaning-trend), Hurst 0.25 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.999 — a bull-tilted low-efficiency drift, +1.69% 24h but -0.84% last 4h. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long — 15m/1h/4h EMA stacks bull, top-traders long (pos ratio 1.24), ADX firming; the 4h pullback and 5m oversold RSI 26 set up a dip-buy rather than a fresh short. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — higher-TF EMA stack bull + firming ADX + top-trader positioning tilt long, with 5m RSI 26 signalling short-term exhaustion of the pullback into support. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a clean break below the 5d low (~2410) with OI expansion invalidates the bull structure and turns the drift into a downtrend. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2517.57; stop 2478.9 below the recent swing/pullback base (~1.54% risk, ~0.9x avg 24h traversal, within stop-width bound); take_profit_1 at 2568.5 (~2.02% reward, RR ~1.32, inside 1.5x clamp) targeting reclaim of the intraday range top. 6. EXPECTATION: mean-reverting Hurst + chop history caps upside; honest split with meaningful expire.
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