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DOGEUSD long — 19 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.089098 and stopped out at 0.08745 after 1.1 hours, closing at -1.85%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-19 20:12 |
| Entry | 0.089098 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08745 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.090269 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09105 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.18 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08745 |
| Realized P&L | -1.85% |
| Time open | 1.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned (alignment 2/4 with 5m mixed), 1h ADX 40.5 slope +0.95 (strong trend, still firming), 4h RSI 70.5 overbought, ER-10 0.39 / ER-30 0.11 (path netting poorly at longer horizon), choppiness 41 mid, Hurst 0.50 neutral, HMM calm 99.98% — a strong but stretched up-leg with a noisy longer path. 2. LEAN CHECK: long lean holds on the trend/OI/positioning stack despite overbought 4h. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.67, oi_15m_z +1.79, agg_oi +3.94%), top-trader pos ratio 3.63 (heavily long), 12h net +2.05%, price pinned near 5d/20d/90d high (-0.93% off) — trend-aligned momentum with real OI backing. 4. PRE-MORTEM: z_score +2.12 rich, 4h RSI 70.5 overbought, and last-4h net -0.68% with taker 0.84 (sell-tilt this bar) signal a pullback; a break of the recent swing invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.089098; stop below the recent consolidation/invalidation at 0.08745 (~1.85% risk, within 1h atr 1.08% / rv terms for 24h span); stretch TP at 0.09105 (~2.19% reward, RR ~1.18, inside clamps) toward a push through the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: trend + OI favor upside but overbought/stretched tape caps conviction — modest edge.
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