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DOGEUSD long — 19 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.087888 and stopped out at 0.0861 after 5.3 hours, closing at -2.03%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-19 21:27 |
| Entry | 0.087888 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0861 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.089083 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08988 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.11 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.0861 |
| Realized P&L | -2.03% |
| Time open | 5.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed (2/4) but 15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned, 1h ADX 38 with negative slope (-2.1, fading), ER-10 0.15 / ER-30 0.04 (path netting nowhere), choppiness 44.7 mid, Hurst 0.49 neutral, HMM calm 99.98% — a bull-stacked but decelerating, chop-degrading up-leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — higher-TF EMA stack still bull-aligned, top-trader pos ratio very long (3.67), OI accelerating_up (+3.9% 24h, agg +1.97%), but near-term 4h net move is -2.36% and taker ratio 0.84 (sell-tilted) create a two-sided pull; the trend backbone + heavy top-trader long tilt tips it long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 15m/1h/4h bull EMA stacks plus top_trader_pos_ratio 3.67 and accelerating_up OI say smart-money positioning still leans long; 5m RSI 28 (oversold) after the -2.36% 4h flush is a dip-buy entry within a bull structure. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is at 5d/20d/90d high (-2.36% off) with rolling z +1.59 and fading ADX — a rejection here with taker sell-flow could roll it into a lower-high fade instead of continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.087888, stop below the recent 4h swing / oversold shelf at 0.08610 (~0.20% under, ~2.05% risk aligning with rv), stretch TP at 0.08988 (~1.14% up, ~1.15x risk) targeting reclaim of the 5d-high area — inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: fading trend + oversold bounce vs sell-flow; p_tp1 43, p_sl 38, p_expire 19.
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