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DOGEUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.099604 and hit its target at 0.101602 after 1.6 hours, closing at +2.01%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 20:38 |
| Entry | 0.099604 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09705 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.101602 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.102934 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.101602 |
| Realized P&L | +2.01% |
| Time open | 1.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 61.0 slope +6.5 (very strong trend still firming), ER-10 0.63 / ER-30 0.60 (clean one-way), choppiness 35.7 (trending), Hurst 0.62 persistent, HMM calm 99.97% — a cleanly bull-stacked, accelerating up-leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net +2.9% 4h, +8.3% 12h, +14.0% 24h all strongly positive; OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.22, agg_oi +29%), top-trader pos ratio 3.48 heavily long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+flow confluence — full MTF stack, ADX >60 rising, OI expanding into the move (accelerating_up, +$62M notional) confirms fresh money chasing the up-leg, and this same-regime setup just won 4 straight (+2.4 to +3.1%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 79 / 4h RSI 82 overbought and price sits at 5d/20d/90d high with rolling-z +3.78 — a blow-off exhaustion reversal is the risk, and taker ratio 0.94 (slight sell tilt) hints buyers tiring. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.099604; stop_loss 0.09705 just below the recent breakout/consolidation shelf (~2.57% risk, within the ~5-6% daily range given elevated RV); take_profit_1 0.102934 stretch at ~3.34% / ~1.3x risk, an honest extension of the up-leg reachable given avg 24h traversal 3.26% and current momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought exhaustion caps upside but trend+flow still dominant.
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