DOGEUSD short — 31 Jul 2026 (expired)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.069475 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 0.07026 with a price move of -1.13%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-31 14:21 |
| Entry | 0.069475 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07075 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.06841 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0677 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.39 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 0.07026 |
| Realized P&L | -1.13% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bearish MTF alignment (4/4 bear-aligned 5m→4h), 1h ADX 24.6 rising (slope +5.3), choppiness 38 (trending edge), Hurst ~0.51 neutral — a genuine, strengthening bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: net -1.56%/24h, -0.87%/12h, z-score -1.13, price hugging 5d/20d lows — trend-aligned short is the clear lean. 3. THESIS: trend is cleanly bearish and ADX is accelerating with negative funding (agg_z -2.0) and taker sell pressure (1h ratio 0.89); the strongest confluence is the full bear stack strengthening into fresh lows. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-trader position ratio is heavily LONG (2.53) and RV is at 7th pctile (compressed) with Extreme Fear 25 — a mean-reversion bounce off the 5d low (+0.13% away) is the main risk. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.069475; stop above the recent consolidation/reclaim zone at 0.07075 (~1.84%); TP at 0.06770 (~2.56%) targeting a break of the 5d low structure, R:R ~1.4. 6. EXPECTATION: bear regime WR ~43% but trend strengthening into lows; compressed RV caps traversal, so meaningful expire odds.
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