DOGEUSD short — 12 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.069311 and stopped out at 0.07045 after 5.4 hours, closing at -1.64%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-12 21:56 |
| Entry | 0.069311 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07045 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.068314 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.06765 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.46 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07045 |
| Realized P&L | -1.64% |
| Time open | 5.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (5m bear-aligned, 15m/4h mixed, 1h bull; alignment 0/4), 1h ADX 25.7 with +2.9 slope, ER-10 0.77 (clean short-term push) but ER-30 0.15 and Hurst 0.42 (mean-reverting longer), choppiness 31.7 (trending), HMM calm — a sharp fresh downside impulse in otherwise transitional tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is decisively down (-2.34%/4h, -3.99%/12h, -4.51%/24h), OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.23, agg OI -3.62%), sitting at 5d/20d/90d lows — the downside impulse is the dominant read, lean SHORT despite oversold RSI. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow cluster — accelerating_down OI with price making fresh lows and negative funding z (-0.85 agg, unwinding) confirms longs being flushed, trend-aligned with the sharp 24h dump. 4. PRE-MORTEM: oversold RSI (5m 21, 15m 17, 1h 28) plus taker ratio flipped to 1.18 and top-traders heavily long (pos 2.93) warns of a mean-reversion bounce off the low. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent intraday reclaim shelf at 0.070450 (structural invalidation of the fresh-low thesis), ~1.64% above mark; target 0.067650 (~2.4% down toward next liquidity below the low), R:R ~1.45, inside clamps and reachable given rv_24h 58% / avg 24h traversal ~1%. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but oversold conditions raise bounce risk and expiry given typical traversal.
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