DOGEUSD short — 26 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.084571 and stopped out at 0.08635 after 7 hours, closing at -2.10%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-26 14:53 |
| Entry | 0.084571 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08635 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.083298 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08245 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08635 |
| Realized P&L | -2.10% |
| Time open | 7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear_aligned, 1h mixed, 4h still bull_aligned ADX 28), 1h ADX 45 slope +2.0 (strong and firming), ER-10/30 ~0.40 and choppiness 58.7 / Hurst 0.44 (leaning mean-revert but with a live directional impulse), HMM calm 99.9% — a fresh downside break inside a stalling 4h uptrend, the exact setup DOGE's winning shorts keyed on. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is clearly down (-2.7%/4h, -5.1%/24h, all fast RSIs 26-31 oversold), OI collapsing (oi_5m_z -2.1, agg_oi -4.8%, decelerating), taker ratio 0.83 sell-heavy — short lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the dominant cluster is flow+momentum — sharp downside impulse with OI bleeding out and sellers dominant tape, trend-aligned with fast TFs; this asset's track record shows this precise "fresh downside inside stalled 4h uptrend" pattern won repeatedly. 4. PRE-MORTEM: oversold RSIs (5m 26) + top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 3.86) risk a mean-reversion bounce reclaiming ~0.0855; that invalidates the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.084571, stop above the reclaim zone at 0.08635 (~2.1% risk, near 24h realized range), take_profit_1 stretch at 0.08245 (~2.5% reward, ~1.19x risk) toward the 5d-low region price is pressing. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but oversold bounce risk and chop caps conviction.
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