DOGEUSD short — 28 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.085505 and hit its target at 0.084362 after 2.3 hours, closing at +1.34%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-28 16:38 |
| Entry | 0.085505 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08735 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.084362 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0836 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.03 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.084362 |
| Realized P&L | +1.34% |
| Time open | 2.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear_aligned, 1h mixed RSI 34.8, 4h bull_aligned but ADX only 17), 1h ADX 21.3 slope +5.3 (downside trend firming), ER-10 0.46 / ER-30 0.22 / choppiness 47 / Hurst 0.42 (mean-reverting path), HMM calm 99.8% — a fresh downside impulse inside a low-conviction, choppy tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: momentum is clearly down (-1.6%/4h, -2.5%/12h, -4.3%/24h) with OI bleeding hard (oi_5m_z -2.22, oi_15m_z -2.46, agg_oi -10.7%, oi_momentum accelerating_down) — the short side has the near-term edge. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI collapse + accelerating_down momentum + bearish 5m/15m stack + taker sell tilt (0.87, most recent buckets sub-1) points down and aligns with the fresh 1h ADX firming — a de-risking bleed, not a squeeze. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-traders are heavily long (pos_ratio 3.86, rising) and price sits only +1.4% off its 5d low with funding z at -1.5 (crowd already short) — a mean-reversion bounce would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.085505; stop above the 1h reclaim / intraday swing at 0.087350 (~2.16% ≈ within realized-range); target the 5d-low retest zone at 0.083600 (~2.23%, R:R ~1.03, inside clamps, reachable given avg 24h traversal 4.5%). 6. EXPECTATION: firm downside momentum but stretched short crowding and proximity to 5d low temper it.
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