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DOGEUSD short — 16 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.07983 and stopped out at 0.08118 after 7.2 hours, closing at -1.69%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-16 18:13 |
| Entry | 0.07983 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08118 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.078732 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.078 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.36 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08118 |
| Realized P&L | -1.69% |
| Time open | 7.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h all bear_aligned (4h mixed, RSI 32.7 oversold), 1h ADX 44.5 but slope -1.92 (strong trend now fading), ER-10 0.06/ER-30 0.25 (path netting nowhere near-term), choppiness 55.5 (mid), Hurst 0.42 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.97% — a strong but fading down-leg, price z -1.70 sitting +0.87% off 5d/20d/90d lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean holds — bearish EMA stack across three TFs, accelerating_down OI (oi_15m_z -3.01), agg OI -5.87% (positions unwinding into the drop); no reclaim to fade against. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — the whole downtrend continuation cluster (bear EMA stack 3TF, accelerating_down OI momentum, deeply negative OI z-scores, 24h net -1.36%) points down, and this asset's own recent record shows repeated short wins in exactly this setup. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits only +0.87% above the 5d/90d low with 1h RSI 44 and ADX slope negative — a reclaim/bounce off that low (oversold 4h RSI 32.7, top-traders very long pos ratio 3.31) would invalidate; taker 1h flipped to 1.29 (buyers stepping in) is a warning. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.07983; stop_loss 0.08118 above the recent 1h swing/reclaim zone (~1.69% risk, within rv/atr band); take_profit_1 0.07800 targeting a break of the 90d low, ~2.3% below entry, R:R ~1.36. 6. EXPECTATION: fading ADX and buyer taker tilt temper conviction — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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