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DOGEUSD short — 14 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.083987 and hit its target at 0.082795 after 42 minutes, closing at +1.42%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-14 12:35 |
| Entry | 0.083987 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08556 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.082795 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.082 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.082795 |
| Realized P&L | +1.42% |
| Time open | 42 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, but 1h ADX only 14.3 slope -1.5 (weak and fading), choppiness 51 (neutral), ER-10 0.40/ER-30 0.14 (noisy, nets nowhere), Hurst 0.43 mean-reverting, HMM calm — a bear-aligned EMA stack sitting in genuine low-ADX chop, not a clean trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean survives — EMA stack is fully bearish on every TF, net_move 4h -0.71%/12h -0.92% soft downside drift, price pinned -4.7% below 5d high with rolling-z -0.95. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short via full_bearish stack + OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.88, oi_momentum accelerating_down, agg_oi_24h -1.4%) = longs bleeding out of the move, confirming downside with no fresh buyer commitment. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top_trader_pos_ratio 3.14 (heavily long) plus taker 1.04 and funding only mildly negative — a reclaim of the 5d-high area / short squeeze on this crowded-long skew flips the read. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.083987; stop 0.085560 above recent intraday structure (~1.87% / ~0.5x daily range given weak-vol chop); target 0.082000, ~2.37% down, reward:risk ~1.26, a reachable structural level above the 5d low within 24h. 6. EXPECTATION: weak-ADX chop caps conviction and raises expire odds.
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