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DOGEUSD short — 22 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.078561 and stopped out at 0.07985 after 11 hours, closing at -1.64%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-22 16:54 |
| Entry | 0.078561 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07985 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.077402 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07663 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07985 |
| Realized P&L | -1.64% |
| Time open | 11 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned), 1h ADX 40.8 (strong trend) slope -0.12 (barely fading), choppiness 44.2 (trending edge), ER-10/30 both ~0.43 (moderately clean), Hurst 0.48, HMM calm 99.97% — a strong, well-aligned bear trend still intact but with 1h RSI 26 oversold. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — full bearish MTF stack, net -5.78%/24h, -2.18%/12h, -1.18%/4h, OI bleeding (-4.5%/24h, oi_5m_z -2.16 decelerating), taker 0.83 sell-heavy; counter signal only the top-trader long ratio 3.68 and deeply negative funding z (-2.1) which can fuel a squeeze. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full_bearish 4/4 alignment with ADX 40 is the dominant cluster, flow (OI bleed + sub-1 taker) confirms sellers in control; this is the trend-following side that won twice recently on this asset. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI at 26 (oversold) + extreme negative funding z + crowded top-trader longs → an oversold bounce/short-squeeze reclaiming 0.0795 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.078561; stop_loss 0.07985 above the 5d-high-descent swing and reclaim zone (~1.64% / within 1h atr-scaled range); take_profit_1 0.07665 near the 5d-low extension (-1.41%, R:R ~0.86... adjust) — set TP 0.07670 for R:R ~1.0 vs stop, a reachable structural low given 2.09% typical 24h traversal. 6. EXPECTATION: trend favors short but oversold RSI caps upside of a clean run.
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