ETHUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,419 and hit its target at 2,449.6 after 2.6 hours, closing at +1.26%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Entry | 2,419 |
| Stop-loss | 2,372 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,449.6 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,470 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.08 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,449.6 |
| Realized P&L | +1.26% |
| Time open | 2.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish (4/4 EMA stacks), ADX_1h 57.5 but slope -2.1 (extremely strong trend now fading from peak), choppiness 59.3 rising toward chop, ER-10 0.20 (noisy path), Hurst 0.64 trending, HMM calm high-conf — a powerful +4.6% 24h bull impulse now stalling at extension. 2. LEAN CHECK: long lean holds — trend fully aligned and OI accelerating, but this is extended tape (rolling z +2.38, 4h RSI 94.9 overbought, RV_24h 81st pctile, price pinned at 5d/20d/90d highs -1.06%). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend + flow cluster — full bull EMA stack, oi_momentum accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.0, agg_oi +8.0%), top_trader_pos_ratio 1.75 heavily long, taker 1h 1.26 buy-tilted — dip-buys still resolving up while trend intact. 4. PRE-MORTEM: funding_z 1.85 / agg_funding_z 2.04 crowded-long with 4h RSI 94.9 exhausted — a rejection off the 5d high flushes late longs and invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2419.01; stop below recent structure at 2372 (~1.94%, ~within realized range given rv_24h ~80/atr_1h 1.26); stretch TP at 2470 (~2.11%, R:R ~1.09, inside clamps) toward a marginal push above the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: extended but trend-aligned with fading ADX and crowded funding — modest edge.
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