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ETHUSD long — 11 Sep 2026 (expired)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,537.3 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 2,524.2 with a price move of -0.52%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-11 18:12 |
| Entry | 2,537.3 |
| Stop-loss | 2,488.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,574.3 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,599 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.27 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 2,524.2 |
| Realized P&L | -0.52% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 29.1 slope +2.1 (firm, strengthening), ADX-20 22.6, choppiness 34.1 (trending), ER-30 0.27, Hurst 0.35 (mean-reverting caveat), HMM calm 0.999, +3.37% on 24h — a genuine bull_trend, though RV at 100th pctile flags stretched vol. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend, OI accel and top-trader positioning all tilt up; only the last-4h net move (-2.65%) is a pullback within the uptrend. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+OI confluence — full bull EMA stack across all 4 TFs, oi_momentum accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +1.64, agg_oi +5.3%), top_trader_pos_ratio 1.19 long — and the recent -2.65% 4h dip into a bull structure offers a better long entry than chasing. 4. PRE-MORTEM: last-1h taker ratio 0.79 (sellers pressing) plus RV at 100th pctile means if the 4h pullback extends and price loses the 5d-low structure the long fails. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2537.28; stop 2488.5 below the recent swing/pullback base (~1.9%, ~1x the elevated ATR), stretch TP 2599 (~2.4%, R:R ~1.27) at the 5d-high resistance the trend points to, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: firm trend but hot RV and near-term seller pressure temper it.
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