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ETHUSD long — 14 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,599.2 and stopped out at 2,558 after 37 minutes, closing at -1.58%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 20:24 |
| Entry | 2,599.2 |
| Stop-loss | 2,558 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,629.7 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,650 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,558 |
| Realized P&L | -1.58% |
| Time open | 37 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4 (all EMA stacks bull), 1h ADX 20.0 slope +4.2 (firming), ER-10 0.77 (clean short-frame), choppiness 34.5 (trending), OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +4.4), Hurst 0.25 mean-reverting but overridden by a fresh clean +3.5% 24h thrust — a bull_trend that just extended hard. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — every timeframe EMA aligns bull, OI building into the move, taker/top-trader tilt long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — full 4/4 MTF bull + accelerating_up OI + top_trader_pos_ratio 1.19 + ER-10 0.77 clean, price only -1.1% off 5d/20d/90d high with momentum intact. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 85/83/80 across 5m/15m/1h screaming overbought and z-score +3.65 / RV 88th pctile — a mean-revert pullback from stretched conditions is the risk; taker ratio 0.87 already shows sellers stepping in. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2599.19; stop below the recent breakout shelf at 2558 (~1.6% risk, within ~1x the 4.1% daily range but respecting the stretched RSI); stretch TP at 2650, just under structural resistance and ~1.24x the stop distance, reachable within 24h given ~1.14% typical 24h traversal is already exceeded today. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought/stretched caps upside odds and raises pullback risk.
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